Global
warming is being caused by greenhouse gases, notably carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere acting as an insulating blanket around the world and so
keeping in heat from the sun, rather than it reflecting back into outer
space again.Much of this carbon dioxide has
been released in the last 150 years from "carbon-sinks" in the form of
the fossil fuels gas, oil and coal reserves where ancient atmospheric
carbon dioxide was trapped and sequested millions of years ago. Burning
the fossil fuels combines the carbon they contain with atmospheric
oxygen to produce carbon dioxide.
Recently tree-planting schemes have been touted as way
to become "carbon-neutral". In other words, if you emit carbon dioxide
from a flight you went on, by driving your car or just by being a 21st
century citizen, you can neutralize that amount by planting trees (or
rather by having trees planted on your behalf for a fee) that will
absorb the same quantity of carbon dioxide that you caused to be
produced.
So I thought "I
wonder how realistic this could be" - time to get the calculator and do
some sums.
Estimates for the amount of carbon dioxide emitted
from "anthropogenic sources" (sources due to man's activities) - this is
mainly from fossil fuel burning - are around 22
billion tons per annum.
The amount of carbon dioxide taken up and held by
forest in biomass of the trees is variable, but a figure of 120 tonnes
of carbon per hectare as suggested
here has been taken for the basis of the following calculations.
This is in line with the range of similar values for a number of species
of forest tree
here and of Brazilian forest
here.
120 tonnes of carbon per hectare corresponds to 440
tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per hectare of mature forest trees.
Carbon - atomic mass = 12
Carbon dioxide - CO2 - molecular mass - 12 + 16 + 16 = 44
So a mature forest can soak up the equivalent of
440 tonnes of atmospheric carbon dioxide per
hectare in the 50-100 years it takes to reach maturity -
that's a one-off total - not per year and will take several decades at
least to get there.
In order to deal with currently generated carbon
dioxide, an area of forest equivalent to:
22 billion tonnes divided by 440 tonnes
per hectare - is needed
= 50 Million
hectares per annum or 500 000 square kilometres per annum
to be planted with forest and held in
perpetuity (not cut down or allowed to revert back to atmospheric carbon
dioxide).
This is approximately equivalent to
the entire land area of Spain, twice as big as the United Kingdom and
bigger than any US state other than Texas (696,621 sq km.) or Alaska
(1,717,854 sq. km.) To be forested anew each year and held as such
forever.
It would appear therefore than planting trees
alone other than on a colossal scale is not going to even
allow us to stand still, let alone start to reverse the effects of
global warming.